I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · January 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -5.5 Away covered
O/U 158.5 Over
Money RMU +220 / WRST -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual WRST +25 177 Lost
Massey WRST -0.8 (-24.2) — —
Massey Totals — 166.7 (+10.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 25% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 15% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -0.2 (-25.2) 156.8 (+20.2) 47% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -1.3 (-23.7) 161.4 (+15.6) 38% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -1.6 (-23.4) 159.8 (+17.2) 41% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -1.4 (-23.6) 156.4 (+20.6) 37% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 RMU 81 – 68 WRST
Feb 5, 2026 RMU 72 – 66 WRST
Mar 7, 2025 RMU 83 – 62 WRST
Feb 2, 2025 WRST 66 – 64 RMU
Jan 12, 2025 RMU 75 – 72 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU WRST
Overall 10-22 18-14
Conference 6-14 13-7
Home 7-9 9-7
Away 3-13 7-6
Neutral 0-0 2-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 72.2 86.2
Avg Pts Against 77.4 82.8
Massey -4.3 (#246) 0.6 (#156)
Bradley-Terry -1.92 (#328) -0.03 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.57 (#330) 0.06 (#175)
RPI 0.394 (#333) 0.506 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU WRST
FG% 44.1% 53.4%
3PT% 32.1% 37.2%
REB / G 32.7 33.6
OREB / G 11.5 9.4
AST / TO 0.86 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 58.5%
TOV% 20.3% 17.7%
ORB% 32.2% 30.3%
FT Rate 21.5% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.4% 57.5%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 16.4%
DRB% 68.4% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 27.0% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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