Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -110 FGCU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -3.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -2.4 (+0.6) | 144.8 (+8.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -1.8 (+1.2) | 145.6 (+7.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -1.6 (+1.4) | 147.0 (+6.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -2.2 (+0.8) | 144.0 (+9.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | QUC 85 – 74 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | QUC 71 – 65 FGCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FGCU 60 – 47 QUC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUC 92 – 83 FGCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | QUC 69 – 63 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-16 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#287) | -6.4 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#217) | -1.29 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#240) | -1.73 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#219) | 0.440 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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