Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -350 UIC +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +8 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -5.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -5.7 (+2.3) | 139.1 (-13.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -5.5 (+2.5) | 139.5 (-13.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -5.7 (+2.3) | 139.1 (-13.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -5.8 (+2.2) | 140.5 (-14.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UNI 84 – 69 UIC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UIC 69 – 61 UNI |
| Dec 17, 2025 | UNI 60 – 54 UIC |
| Feb 27, 2025 | UNI 74 – 52 UIC |
| Dec 5, 2024 | UNI 83 – 56 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-9 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#116) | 1.8 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#145) | -0.40 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#137) | 0.31 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#147) | 0.488 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.