Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -600 JXST +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +10 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -9.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -9.7 (-19.7) | 128.6 (-16.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -7.9 (-17.9) | 131.8 (-19.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -7.8 (-17.8) | 132.7 (-20.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -8.4 (-18.4) | 131.9 (-19.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIB 81 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIB 78 – 69 JXST |
| Mar 16, 2025 | LIB 79 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIB 59 – 55 JXST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JXST 72 – 61 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#85) | 0.4 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#80) | -0.84 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#83) | -0.35 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#93) | 0.463 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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