Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | ETSU +120 WCU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +14 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -0.3 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -0.3 (-13.7) | 138.5 (+7.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -0.0 (-14.0) | 137.6 (+8.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -0.0 (-14.0) | 138.5 (+7.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -0.3 (-13.7) | 138.6 (+7.4) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#195) | 3.0 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#141) | 1.69 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#147) | 1.72 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#102) | 0.564 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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