Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -700 GASO +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -13.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -11.8 (-6.8) | 149.4 (+3.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -10.2 (-5.2) | 146.8 (+6.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -10.3 (-5.3) | 146.9 (+6.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -10.6 (-5.6) | 147.4 (+5.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | GASO 82 – 78 MRSH |
| Feb 28, 2026 | GASO 99 – 82 MRSH |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GASO 101 – 87 MRSH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRSH 71 – 67 GASO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 69 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#197) | -10.6 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#185) | -2.25 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#180) | -2.43 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#176) | 0.377 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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