They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–12 on winners spread MAE 9.0 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Colorado State @ Fresno State -10.6 148.4 16% 69–64 ✓
Florida State @ Stanford +3.4 145.7 70% 71–78 ✓
Lafayette @ Lehigh +0.4 135.7 50% 47–86 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Lamar +10.0 134.0 86% 58–61 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Old Dominion +2.2 133.3 56% 52–74 ✓
Charleston @ Elon +3.4 146.0 67% 76–62 ✗
Hampton @ UNC Wilmington +8.9 139.6 82% 62–83 ✓
Austin Peay @ North Alabama +11.2 141.7 87% 84–88 ✓
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +5.9 143.8 74% 52–73 ✓
Merrimack @ Fairfield -5.4 130.7 28% 75–54 ✓
Wyoming @ San José State +2.2 135.3 63% 58–67 ✓
Grambling @ Mississippi Valley State -13.0 129.1 13% 65–54 ✓
UConn @ Xavier +1.0 144.0 55% 72–76 ✓
Southern Miss @ Louisiana -1.7 145.9 41% 67–59 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Washington State -4.3 141.7 33% 80–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ Portland -15.3 164.8 14% 105–62 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Kansas City -3.7 146.1 32% 68–65 ✓
Omaha @ Oral Roberts -5.7 150.7 24% 84–76 ✓
Tennessee @ Auburn +9.1 136.1 80% 51–53 ✓
LSU @ Alabama +12.2 159.9 88% 73–80 ✓
Miami @ California +8.7 152.9 82% 94–98 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arkansas +4.3 145.7 68% 65–62 ✗
California Baptist @ Southern Utah -1.4 139.8 43% 76–60 ✓
Montana State @ Montana +0.8 141.9 56% 70–77 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton -6.5 134.7 24% 83–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -9.9 145.3 17% 79–66 ✓
Kennesaw State @ UTEP +4.1 145.6 68% 71–73 ✓
Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State +2.5 135.6 64% 65–59 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.8 145.5 53% 83–79 ✗
San Diego State @ Nevada +0.9 132.6 54% 69–50 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Irvine +14.3 141.5 88% 55–71 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +9.9 147.6 83% 54–79 ✓
San Diego @ San Francisco +15.6 144.1 89% 69–81 ✓
Pacific @ Pepperdine +6.9 143.7 77% 44–60 ✓
Utah Valley @ Seattle U +1.3 137.8 55% 70–66 ✗
Cincinnati @ BYU +4.3 134.3 69% 52–80 ✓
Duquesne @ Fordham -2.0 144.2 43% 63–65 ✗
Maryland @ Indiana -3.8 147.4 35% 79–78 ✓
Nebraska @ Wisconsin +9.9 147.0 83% 55–83 ✓
UAB @ Memphis +11.8 157.2 86% 77–100 ✓
Long Island University @ Mercyhurst -2.1 129.8 41% 80–85 ✗
Chicago State @ Central Connecticut +14.0 129.3 89% 64–81 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas +8.8 139.1 81% 64–77 ✓
Wagner @ Saint Francis +3.8 130.1 62% 68–66 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Stonehill +4.0 138.6 67% 65–54 ✗
Northwestern @ Illinois +11.7 150.0 86% 74–83 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +15.7 147.3 90% 54–64 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulsa -5.0 144.6 29% 77–84 ✗
Navy @ Army +3.1 143.8 66% 66–53 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.