Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–14 on winners spread MAE 9.4 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UCF @ South Florida -7.9 132.8 23% 51–75 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State +4.0 139.6 65% 55–71 ✓
UTEP @ Old Dominion +2.7 132.2 63% 78–70 ✗
Rice @ Marshall -0.2 155.4 50% 87–77 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ High Point +1.4 136.5 55% 71–78 ✓
Liberty @ Florida Gulf Coast -0.2 143.4 49% 78–75 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky -1.9 144.9 36% 76–65 ✓
Wright State @ Youngstown State +2.5 146.5 60% 87–90 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris -0.6 139.6 42% 64–74 ✗
UIC @ Green Bay -1.4 135.1 40% 80–63 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Indiana State -7.0 146.4 21% 64–56 ✓
Utah @ Arizona +17.8 155.7 91% 64–82 ✓
Houston @ Tulsa -13.2 137.1 15% 66–64 ✓
Idaho @ Idaho State -3.2 140.6 37% 74–81 ✗
Portland @ Pepperdine +0.7 147.2 57% 82–63 ✗
Georgia Tech @ North Carolina +11.9 146.0 87% 65–88 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +0.2 137.0 54% 69–68 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City -4.1 141.9 36% 84–72 ✓
Auburn @ Ole Miss -10.3 140.7 17% 80–71 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton +5.0 140.1 73% 73–79 ✓
Tarleton State @ Grand Canyon +9.0 134.0 80% 59–80 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ San Diego +1.5 134.1 59% 65–70 ✓
Wyoming @ Utah State +1.4 145.2 57% 71–69 ✗
Colorado @ Arizona State -0.0 134.0 51% 75–57 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal Poly -4.7 130.6 30% 74–82 ✗
Utah Valley @ California Baptist -5.2 138.6 31% 73–75 ✗
Oregon State @ UCLA +15.1 150.1 88% 65–81 ✓
Oregon @ USC +8.9 142.3 82% 79–69 ✗
BYU @ San Francisco +3.7 143.6 70% 71–69 ✗
UC San Diego @ Hawai'i +3.3 139.9 67% 56–79 ✓
Butler @ Villanova +16.2 126.9 90% 42–82 ✓
Penn State @ Ohio State +8.1 139.0 80% 56–61 ✓
Cincinnati @ Wichita State +2.1 136.3 58% 61–57 ✗
Navy @ Boston University -0.3 131.6 49% 72–65 ✓
Binghamton @ Maine -6.3 131.9 25% 73–65 ✓
Niagara @ Iona +10.2 138.8 83% 55–78 ✓
Army @ Lafayette -3.0 144.2 34% 54–68 ✗
Bucknell @ American University +2.2 144.5 55% 55–63 ✓
Monmouth @ Marist -3.7 134.8 30% 48–84 ✗
Fairfield @ Quinnipiac +1.3 141.6 56% 66–72 ✓
Canisius @ Manhattan +5.1 148.8 71% 75–80 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Rider -2.1 135.9 39% 58–51 ✓
Iowa @ Minnesota -1.9 153.2 42% 81–71 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Southern Miss -11.6 139.6 14% 76–62 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +10.6 159.3 84% 69–88 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh -2.0 139.9 38% 69–57 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.