Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +3 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -5.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -1.6 (+1.4) | 146.4 (+30.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -2.5 (+0.5) | 146.5 (+30.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.2 (+0.8) | 147.5 (+29.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.7 (+0.3) | 146.6 (+30.4) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | WRST 93 – 83 YSU |
| Dec 3, 2025 | YSU 69 – 68 WRST |
| Jan 30, 2025 | YSU 88 – 86 WRST |
| Dec 19, 2024 | YSU 80 – 70 WRST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | YSU 88 – 77 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 15-7 |
| Home | 13-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#240) | -5.1 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#285) | -0.81 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#283) | -0.93 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#289) | 0.443 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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