Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UCD -4.6 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -5.3 (+13.3) | 128.9 (+27.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -4.7 (+12.7) | 130.6 (+25.4) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -4.3 (+12.3) | 131.9 (+24.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -4.3 (+12.3) | 131.6 (+24.4) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UCD 67 – 58 CP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CP 84 – 78 UCD |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CP 86 – 76 UCD |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCD 65 – 54 CP |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCD 77 – 66 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-21 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 5-6 |
| Home | 4-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-12 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#315) | -0.8 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#326) | 0.07 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#306) | -0.06 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#334) | 0.495 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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