Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | USD -2.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -0.3 (+4.7) | 133.1 (+1.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -1.5 (+3.5) | 134.1 (+0.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USD -1.4 (+3.6) | 135.4 (-0.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -2.0 (+3.0) | 132.6 (+2.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 3-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#203) | -0.7 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#180) | 0.76 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#155) | 0.85 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#174) | 0.541 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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