Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +18 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -23.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -15.7 (+2.3) | 152.9 (-6.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -17.8 (+0.2) | 155.7 (-9.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -18.9 (-0.9) | 155.2 (-9.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -17.8 (+0.2) | 153.4 (-7.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ARIZ 97 – 78 UTAH |
| Feb 27, 2025 | ARIZ 83 – 66 UTAH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 99 UTAH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ARIZ 92 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 17, 2023 | ARIZ 88 – 62 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 4-16 |
| Home | 17-0 | 7-9 |
| Away | 9-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 23.6 (#1) | 3.8 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#6) | 0.22 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.55 (#5) | 0.43 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#8) | 0.512 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 43.9 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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