Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +12 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -1.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -4.2 (-7.8) | 138.9 (-12.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -2.0 (-10.0) | 139.9 (-13.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -2.6 (-9.4) | 140.7 (-14.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -1.7 (-10.3) | 140.6 (-14.6) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#311) | -4.0 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#319) | -0.31 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#328) | -0.72 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#338) | 0.470 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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