Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +18 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -0.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -0.8 (-17.2) | 132.8 (-0.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -0.0 (-18.0) | 134.0 (-2.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -0.5 (-17.5) | 134.1 (-2.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -0.4 (-17.6) | 134.0 (-2.0) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | COLO 78 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLO 95 – 89 ASU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ASU 70 – 68 COLO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ASU 81 – 61 COLO |
| Feb 9, 2024 | COLO 82 – 70 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#140) | 4.6 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#127) | 1.42 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#163) | 1.66 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#103) | 0.565 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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