Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -2.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -1.6 (+5.4) | 138.2 (+10.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -1.4 (+5.6) | 136.5 (+12.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -0.9 (+6.1) | 137.2 (+11.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -1.8 (+5.2) | 138.8 (+10.2) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | HPU 75 – 62 NCAT |
| Feb 24, 2022 | HPU 78 – 58 NCAT |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.