Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -4.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -4.2 (-5.8) | 150.1 (+1.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -1.9 (-8.1) | 153.2 (-1.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -1.8 (-8.2) | 154.2 (-2.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -2.7 (-7.3) | 152.4 (-0.4) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | MINN 70 – 67 IOWA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MINN 72 – 67 IOWA |
| Feb 11, 2024 | IOWA 90 – 85 MINN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 MINN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | IOWA 68 – 56 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 83.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#73) | 14.9 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#45) | 2.22 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#48) | 3.08 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#30) | 0.588 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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