Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -0.1 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -1.9 (+11.9) | 140.2 (-2.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -0.6 (+10.6) | 139.6 (-1.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.1 (+10.1) | 139.1 (-1.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -0.4 (+10.4) | 139.0 (-1.0) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | RMU 92 – 89 NKU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NKU 79 – 77 RMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RMU 81 – 76 NKU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | RMU 97 – 93 NKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | NKU 70 – 60 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-10 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#324) | -6.3 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#349) | -1.67 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.19 (#347) | -2.63 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#323) | 0.418 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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