Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +12 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -4.6 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -4.6 (-7.4) | 143.7 (+12.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -4.1 (-7.9) | 141.9 (+14.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -4.5 (-7.5) | 143.3 (+12.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -4.7 (-7.3) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | ORU 84 – 62 KC |
| Mar 1, 2026 | ORU 94 – 70 KC |
| Feb 13, 2026 | ORU 69 – 60 KC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | KC 73 – 56 ORU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ORU 73 – 67 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 77.8 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#249) | 4.0 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#173) | 0.51 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#164) | 0.73 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#179) | 0.529 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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