Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +16 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -6.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -3.7 (+12.3) | 139.2 (-13.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -4.0 (+12.0) | 139.6 (-13.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -4.0 (+12.0) | 139.9 (-13.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -3.2 (+12.8) | 138.4 (-12.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | CSUN 78 – 76 LBSU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LBSU 87 – 80 CSUN |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSUN 81 – 80 LBSU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CSUN 86 – 76 LBSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | LBSU 87 – 73 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 4-11 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#262) | -7.9 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#272) | -0.77 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#244) | -0.96 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#197) | 0.458 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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