Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +7 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -1.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -2.8 (-4.2) | 135.4 (-26.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -2.1 (-4.9) | 135.9 (-26.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -2.0 (-5.0) | 134.9 (-25.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -2.4 (-4.6) | 138.6 (-29.6) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 62.9 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#310) | -3.0 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#299) | -0.76 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#299) | -0.86 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#303) | 0.482 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 36.2% |
Game Analysis
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