Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -1.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -2.4 (-4.4) | 142.8 (-2.8) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -1.4 (-3.4) | 145.2 (-5.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USU -1.0 (-3.0) | 144.1 (-4.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -2.2 (-4.2) | 144.0 (-4.0) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | USU 85 – 83 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2026 | USU 94 – 62 WYO |
| Feb 5, 2025 | USU 71 – 67 WYO |
| Dec 5, 2024 | USU 70 – 67 WYO |
| Feb 15, 2024 | USU 84 – 76 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#57) | 11.2 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#74) | 2.57 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#58) | 3.13 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#58) | 0.598 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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