Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +5 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -9.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -8.4 (-3.4) | 134.5 (-17.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -8.1 (-3.1) | 139.0 (-22.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -7.2 (-2.2) | 140.3 (-23.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -7.6 (-2.6) | 134.8 (-17.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | OSU 94 – 62 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | OSU 84 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OSU 83 – 64 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OSU 79 – 67 PSU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | PSU 83 – 80 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#31) | 6.1 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#24) | 1.32 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.69 (#22) | 1.73 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#7) | 0.568 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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