Betting Lines
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | AMER -110 BUCK -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +8 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | AMER -0.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMER -0.9 (+7.1) | 142.6 (-24.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -2.2 (+5.8) | 144.5 (-26.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -1.8 (+6.2) | 144.9 (-26.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -1.3 (+6.7) | 144.5 (-26.5) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | AMER 75 – 57 BUCK |
| Feb 5, 2026 | BUCK 60 – 59 AMER |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BUCK 71 – 49 AMER |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMER 68 – 58 BUCK |
| Mar 8, 2024 | BUCK 80 – 57 AMER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMER | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-16 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#345) | -11.4 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#311) | -2.38 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#301) | -3.05 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#330) | 0.382 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMER | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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