Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +19 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -2.4 (-21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -3.0 (-22.0) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -0.7 (-19.7) | 147.2 (-2.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -0.2 (-19.2) | 148.4 (-3.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -0.0 (-19.0) | 147.8 (-2.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PORT 77 – 68 PEPP |
| Feb 19, 2026 | PEPP 95 – 87 PORT |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PEPP 67 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PEPP 86 – 73 PORT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PORT 87 – 67 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#272) | -4.9 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#268) | -0.52 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#262) | -0.80 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#270) | 0.439 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.