Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -0.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAIR -0.1 (+6.1) | 141.0 (-3.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -1.3 (+4.7) | 141.6 (-3.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -0.8 (+5.2) | 142.1 (-4.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.0 (+5.0) | 142.3 (-4.3) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | QUIN 72 – 65 FAIR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FAIR 83 – 74 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | QUIN 81 – 69 FAIR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FAIR 85 – 81 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#244) | -0.4 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#240) | -0.49 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#260) | -0.73 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#301) | 0.473 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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