Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +23 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -5.0 (+18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -3.8 (+19.2) | 138.0 (-3.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -3.3 (+19.7) | 139.9 (-4.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -3.2 (+19.8) | 139.1 (-4.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -3.7 (+19.3) | 137.4 (-2.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | HAW 72 – 67 UCSD |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UCSD 83 – 73 HAW |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSD 83 – 44 HAW |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCSD 74 – 63 HAW |
| Feb 9, 2024 | HAW 94 – 86 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 0-0 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#198) | -2.4 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#228) | -0.43 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#209) | -0.28 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#263) | 0.483 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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