Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +23 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -10.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -9.9 (+13.1) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -10.2 (+12.8) | 138.8 (-5.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -10.4 (+12.6) | 139.0 (-6.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -10.2 (+12.8) | 139.2 (-6.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NIA 70 – 68 IONA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | IONA 71 – 53 NIA |
| Feb 28, 2025 | IONA 65 – 63 NIA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IONA 74 – 71 NIA |
| Jan 7, 2024 | NIA 75 – 73 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-0 | 7-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#64) | 0.8 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#39) | -0.54 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#41) | -0.69 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#17) | 0.487 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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