Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -10.1 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -9.1 (-19.1) | 140.3 (+7.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -8.9 (-18.9) | 142.3 (+5.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USC -8.3 (-18.3) | 143.4 (+4.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -9.1 (-19.1) | 143.0 (+5.0) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ORE 71 – 70 USC |
| Dec 3, 2025 | USC 82 – 77 ORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | ORE 82 – 61 USC |
| Dec 5, 2024 | ORE 68 – 60 USC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | ORE 78 – 69 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#22) | 6.9 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#11) | 1.37 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.89 (#17) | 1.90 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#19) | 0.570 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.