I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–19 on winners spread MAE 9.3 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky +1.1 148.2 55% 92–91 ✗
Stony Brook @ Hofstra +11.5 136.8 87% 58–67 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton -1.9 152.0 47% 87–85 ✓
Boise State @ Fresno State -2.6 147.4 41% 69–53 ✓
Villanova @ St. John's +6.3 147.7 80% 57–89 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Louis +16.7 156.9 89% 76–91 ✓
Washington State @ Pepperdine -5.1 151.6 36% 79–88 ✗
Oregon State @ Santa Clara +15.2 152.2 89% 72–93 ✓
Baylor @ UCF +4.6 160.9 73% 87–86 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside -3.0 150.9 37% 84–95 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City -3.9 143.7 26% 94–70 ✓
Omaha @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +13.3 155.2 88% 53–68 ✓
Arkansas @ Florida +6.8 165.3 73% 77–111 ✓
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina +8.4 147.1 81% 82–89 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +9.9 152.1 85% 85–79 ✗
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah -3.1 150.4 37% 67–81 ✗
Seattle U @ Loyola Marymount +0.8 136.8 51% 71–66 ✗
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +7.3 135.9 80% 67–82 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Bakersfield -2.6 150.9 33% 88–87 ✓
Nevada @ UNLV -1.3 150.3 43% 83–85 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Utah State +9.9 147.1 84% 69–74 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +8.2 154.8 79% 64–80 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -0.6 143.0 45% 59–70 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Irvine +5.4 141.1 71% 60–64 ✓
La Salle @ Davidson +9.4 131.4 83% 64–71 ✓
Tulane @ South Florida +14.1 151.5 87% 62–90 ✓
North Texas @ UAB +5.6 134.0 74% 62–58 ✗
Rutgers @ Maryland +3.9 140.9 69% 69–65 ✗
UIC @ Indiana State -4.5 143.5 29% 63–79 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Canisius -6.7 130.9 24% 67–63 ✓
Purdue @ Ohio State -2.4 149.5 49% 74–82 ✗
Murray State @ Bradley +2.4 160.0 70% 78–87 ✓
Rice @ Temple +6.6 142.1 77% 80–74 ✗
Memphis @ East Carolina -4.7 146.1 37% 68–84 ✗
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +6.5 146.6 79% 76–77 ✓
Rider @ Siena +13.6 132.9 89% 61–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairfield +4.9 139.2 68% 69–47 ✗
Merrimack @ Niagara -7.2 129.1 21% 73–66 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Marist +4.2 132.7 68% 63–56 ✗
Iona @ Manhattan -3.4 151.2 35% 69–65 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Drake -4.1 136.3 31% 75–53 ✓
Michigan State @ Indiana -1.8 144.5 46% 77–64 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Evansville -9.2 138.3 17% 81–67 ✓
DePaul @ Marquette +2.6 142.6 66% 62–51 ✗
Belmont @ Illinois State -0.3 149.6 51% 74–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.