I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
West Coast Conference · Gersten Pavilion · March 1, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread LMU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money LMU -115 / SEA -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total LMU win
Actual SEA +5 137 Lost
Massey LMU -0.2 (-5.2)
Massey Totals 134.9 (+2.1)
Bradley-Terry 50%
Weighted B-T 47%
Efficiency Plus ML LMU -0.7 (-5.7) 140.4 (-3.4) 51%
Baseline Tuned ML LMU -1.2 (-6.2) 135.1 (+1.9) 53%
Baseline ML LMU -0.8 (-5.8) 136.8 (+0.2) 51%
Baseline Plus ML LMU -0.9 (-5.9) 139.3 (-2.3) 50%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 22, 2026 SEA 6959 LMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LMU SEA
Overall 15-17 21-14
Conference 6-12 8-10
Home 10-8 14-4
Away 4-7 5-8
Neutral 1-2 2-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 72.2 70.1
Avg Pts Against 72.6 68.2
Massey 0.6 (#153) 3.4 (#120)
Bradley-Terry -0.03 (#166) 0.50 (#115)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.15 (#155) 0.84 (#105)
RPI 0.498 (#195) 0.510 (#159)
Shooting & Four Factors LMU SEA
FG% 44.8% 43.3%
3PT% 34.7% 32.9%
REB / G 33.5 31.7
OREB / G 9.1 8.6
AST / TO 1.06 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 49.7%
TOV% 17.5% 17.1%
ORB% 26.6% 24.9%
FT Rate 21.7% 23.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 21.2%
DRB% 67.8% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 24.8%

Game Analysis

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