Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -285 RICE +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -8.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -5.4 (-11.4) | 142.3 (+11.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -6.9 (-12.9) | 141.5 (+12.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -6.6 (-12.6) | 142.1 (+11.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -7.5 (-13.5) | 143.5 (+10.5) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | TEM 69 – 65 RICE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TEM 73 – 70 RICE |
| Feb 29, 2024 | TEM 65 – 43 RICE |
| Jan 20, 2024 | RICE 69 – 66 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#166) | -5.2 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#184) | -0.85 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#183) | -1.20 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#209) | 0.455 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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