Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–16 on winners spread MAE 8.0 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
West Virginia @ Cincinnati +1.8 126.6 57% 59–54 ✗
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart +0.4 149.7 50% 92–87 ✗
Iona @ Siena +5.2 137.8 74% 72–79 ✓
Merrimack @ Mount St. Mary's -2.9 131.3 31% 87–70 ✓
Canisius @ Quinnipiac +11.4 138.3 86% 60–75 ✓
Rider @ Marist +14.3 133.2 87% 52–81 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Manhattan -4.7 143.6 32% 80–75 ✓
Chicago State @ Central Connecticut +7.1 136.1 71% 67–78 ✓
Saint Francis @ Mercyhurst +10.9 132.3 86% 89–98 ✓
New Haven @ Long Island University +10.6 132.8 86% 55–60 ✓
Le Moyne @ Wagner -0.3 140.6 47% 78–79 ✗
Stonehill @ Fairleigh Dickinson +0.7 129.2 46% 58–74 ✓
UMass Lowell @ NJIT +3.1 145.3 66% 56–81 ✓
Northeastern @ Hofstra +10.3 151.8 85% 63–80 ✓
Monmouth @ Stony Brook +3.0 138.9 68% 76–75 ✗
Drexel @ Campbell +1.3 138.6 53% 60–81 ✓
William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington +3.8 149.5 72% 85–78 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Charleston +7.6 150.4 82% 62–78 ✓
Elon @ Hampton -1.6 142.8 42% 79–87 ✗
Mercer @ Chattanooga -6.9 151.3 22% 75–79 ✗
Stetson @ Bellarmine +4.2 149.3 68% 71–92 ✓
North Florida @ West Georgia +5.4 160.3 70% 81–73 ✗
Jacksonville @ Queens University +6.6 147.4 76% 84–93 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Eastern Kentucky -0.3 155.0 52% 74–76 ✗
Denver @ North Dakota State +11.0 155.2 86% 78–71 ✗
Omaha @ North Dakota +1.0 149.1 60% 73–76 ✓
The Citadel @ Samford +9.2 142.7 81% 64–78 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Utah Valley +14.3 142.1 88% 55–68 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock -2.3 144.7 41% 79–74 ✓
Ohio State @ Maryland -8.9 151.2 20% 82–62 ✓
Western Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +7.4 144.0 82% 72–97 ✓
Southern Indiana @ UT Martin +11.7 128.0 83% 54–76 ✓
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State +5.0 140.6 70% 70–82 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State +6.6 138.9 75% 68–77 ✓
Memphis @ UAB +1.6 147.3 60% 90–80 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -1.0 148.7 46% 75–85 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Weber State +0.6 159.0 61% 88–74 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Idaho State +8.0 139.8 76% 79–73 ✗
Idaho @ Montana State +3.8 143.2 66% 66–73 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana +7.7 148.4 78% 82–74 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Tech +0.5 136.1 50% 84–87 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Western Kentucky +4.5 134.6 66% 71–66 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton +6.4 150.0 75% 72–78 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly -0.2 166.1 56% 97–96 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +14.0 142.6 88% 62–78 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC San Diego +9.8 141.1 83% 74–77 ✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +7.9 144.8 81% 55–56 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +12.3 139.5 87% 64–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.