Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–8 on winners spread MAE 8.8 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Memphis -6.8 154.3 23% 77–70 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Green Bay +1.5 150.1 58% 64–67 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville State +2.1 134.0 51% 62–59 ✗
UAlbany @ Stony Brook +13.7 144.4 87% 71–55 ✗
The Citadel @ Charleston +14.1 141.2 88% 78–82 ✓
Mercer @ UCF +11.7 154.8 83% 63–81 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida A&M -0.4 145.7 44% 65–72 ✗
Chattanooga @ Bellarmine +4.4 142.9 65% 64–79 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Wagner +7.5 139.3 70% 64–78 ✓
Siena @ Vermont +0.6 135.8 55% 69–83 ✓
Presbyterian @ East Carolina +1.4 130.7 45% 53–74 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Monmouth +0.8 145.9 55% 85–75 ✗
Alabama State @ Cincinnati +11.7 143.0 84% 51–88 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +1.7 136.9 57% 77–80 ✓
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky +2.4 161.5 68% 82–77 ✗
Longwood @ Wake Forest +26.3 156.2 91% 68–71 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Syracuse +16.8 129.8 87% 62–76 ✓
Binghamton @ Pittsburgh +17.7 135.2 90% 63–103 ✓
Texas Southern @ NC State +32.8 156.4 91% 72–108 ✓
Richmond @ Elon +0.3 157.9 42% 70–73 ✓
Wofford @ Wichita State +11.7 137.5 85% 73–84 ✓
Cleveland State @ UAB +19.7 148.8 90% 77–101 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Tulane +1.7 134.4 57% 53–61 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee +6.8 155.8 73% 67–68 ✓
Houston Christian @ Nicholls +1.1 142.5 55% 64–79 ✓
South Alabama @ UL Monroe -9.6 144.9 23% 96–92 ✓
South Florida @ Alabama +15.1 168.3 89% 93–104 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Ole Miss +7.6 132.6 78% 66–80 ✓
Weber State @ Utah Valley +15.0 145.4 87% 74–90 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Saint Louis +24.3 148.8 91% 53–112 ✓
James Madison @ Old Dominion +1.4 147.1 62% 68–77 ✓
Georgetown @ Marquette +1.9 149.1 65% 78–69 ✗
Arkansas State @ Texas State -3.2 147.7 39% 89–70 ✓
Campbell @ Gonzaga +34.5 153.0 91% 70–98 ✓
UTSA @ USC +25.2 146.5 91% 70–97 ✓
Seattle U @ UC Davis +0.5 142.5 50% 79–78 ✗
North Texas @ Santa Clara +9.6 135.0 78% 60–63 ✓
Portland State @ Colorado +14.5 150.8 85% 73–84 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Stephen F. Austin +9.1 136.2 82% 60–69 ✓
Sam Houston @ Oregon State -1.2 148.5 45% 85–75 ✓
Washington State @ Eastern Washington -1.4 149.1 37% 78–63 ✓
Air Force @ San Diego State +17.0 142.3 88% 58–81 ✓
UT Arlington @ Stanford +8.4 136.0 78% 60–76 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ San Francisco +15.5 139.3 87% 71–85 ✓
Arizona State @ UCLA +6.8 146.2 78% 77–90 ✓
Portland @ Oregon +10.9 148.9 82% 69–94 ✓
North Florida @ Charleston Southern +13.9 149.1 87% 90–113 ✓
Hampton @ Jackson State -9.5 132.6 17% 84–77 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ App State +1.8 136.0 61% 49–67 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Eastern Illinois -2.5 135.7 33% 72–76 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.