What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–21 on winners spread MAE 9.7 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ Georgetown -4.9 146.3 30% 78–65 ✓
Wichita State @ Western Kentucky -1.6 146.9 44% 70–75 ✗
Stanford @ Saint Louis +6.4 153.4 75% 78–77 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Clemson +20.8 140.7 91% 56–92 ✓
Georgia Tech @ DePaul -1.3 137.6 50% 61–75 ✗
SMU @ Mississippi State -5.2 154.5 34% 87–81 ✓
Ohio State @ Pittsburgh -3.7 141.8 36% 66–67 ✗
Colgate @ UAlbany -7.1 140.0 25% 69–67 ✓
Jackson State @ Louisiana +10.0 138.5 82% 51–45 ✗
Sam Houston @ Idaho -0.5 148.3 50% 94–68 ✓
BYU @ Dayton -7.4 146.8 23% 83–79 ✓
Minnesota @ Santa Clara +11.6 135.1 84% 75–86 ✓
LSU @ Drake -10.2 146.1 17% 71–62 ✓
Stony Brook @ Loyola Marymount +8.8 133.7 78% 71–68 ✗
North Dakota @ Hawai'i +13.7 137.6 87% 55–92 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Indiana +21.1 145.3 90% 56–100 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Navy +4.1 133.7 63% 69–65 ✗
Alcorn State @ Louisiana Tech +5.0 129.7 68% 58–83 ✓
Manhattan @ Army +3.6 151.5 67% 78–81 ✓
VMI @ UCF +26.6 153.4 91% 57–82 ✓
Boston University @ Northern Kentucky +7.7 150.6 74% 65–74 ✓
Maine @ Longwood +0.3 133.8 43% 61–65 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Niagara +5.0 143.1 66% 70–66 ✗
Dartmouth @ Saint Peter's +11.3 146.0 79% 87–61 ✗
Lehigh @ Texas State +0.8 130.2 50% 78–74 ✗
Houston Christian @ Georgia Southern +2.6 137.6 59% 62–80 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Nebraska +16.1 152.0 86% 63–72 ✓
Southern @ Northwestern State +1.8 162.2 58% 75–73 ✗
Merrimack @ Hofstra +4.6 136.4 74% 58–78 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Georgia +24.3 154.0 91% 81–123 ✓
Western Carolina @ High Point +20.5 153.3 90% 73–93 ✓
James Madison @ George Mason +14.9 144.2 87% 66–82 ✓
Delaware State @ UMBC +13.8 130.9 89% 57–71 ✓
Monmouth @ Le Moyne -2.3 142.9 45% 79–83 ✗
Southern Utah @ Stetson +4.5 145.3 72% 70–68 ✗
Morehead State @ IU Indianapolis +3.9 161.6 75% 80–85 ✓
Bryant @ Harvard +10.1 132.5 81% 53–56 ✓
Lipscomb @ Southeast Missouri State +2.3 146.1 58% 88–77 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Arlington -0.1 137.0 50% 61–66 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Wilmington +27.9 142.7 91% 62–88 ✓
Western Michigan @ Valparaiso +2.2 137.3 56% 55–84 ✓
Norfolk State @ Arizona +19.8 134.8 89% 61–98 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Drake -1.3 134.9 48% 74–84 ✗
South Carolina State @ Winthrop +29.0 148.2 91% 79–101 ✓
Kansas City @ Weber State +12.0 150.2 85% 61–82 ✓
Montana State @ Utah State +15.0 142.9 87% 81–84 ✓
Central Arkansas @ East Tennessee State +15.8 141.5 86% 57–80 ✓
Mercer @ Elon +7.0 160.9 76% 91–84 ✗
Siena @ American University +2.3 140.9 60% 59–55 ✗
Howard @ Mount St. Mary's -0.6 140.1 44% 75–79 ✗
Air Force @ South Dakota -1.5 142.7 43% 63–80 ✗
Seattle U @ UC Santa Barbara -4.9 146.3 29% 71–74 ✗
Ball State @ Lafayette +1.4 136.6 45% 37–55 ✓
La Salle @ Pennsylvania +7.6 140.2 78% 71–73 ✓
Wofford @ Eastern Kentucky -0.2 147.6 52% 83–77 ✓
UC Riverside @ Utah Tech +2.1 142.0 58% 69–77 ✓
Pepperdine @ Cal State Fullerton +4.7 153.2 68% 69–83 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Penn State +13.5 152.9 87% 59–90 ✓
Buffalo @ Canisius -6.8 138.0 26% 71–53 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.