Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–8 on winners spread MAE 10.2 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
DePaul @ LSU +7.5 150.3 76% 63–96 ✓
Little Rock @ Southern Illinois +15.0 145.3 86% 65–74 ✓
Milwaukee @ Akron +21.4 159.6 90% 81–105 ✓
UAlbany @ Fordham +3.6 128.8 57% 68–88 ✓
Sacramento State @ Pacific +16.9 138.4 88% 54–68 ✓
California Baptist @ Oregon State -5.1 135.8 28% 75–69 ✓
Le Moyne @ Ball State -8.4 132.0 25% 85–96 ✗
Merrimack @ La Salle +1.0 133.3 49% 66–60 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Princeton +1.8 144.9 63% 60–58 ✗
Siena @ Maine -8.6 121.5 38% 64–60 ✓
App State @ UNC Asheville +2.4 135.0 62% 55–67 ✓
South Alabama @ UTSA +1.2 136.6 52% 82–58 ✗
Tennessee State @ Chattanooga -0.5 147.2 49% 70–64 ✓
Old Dominion @ William & Mary +15.3 153.4 86% 75–88 ✓
Stetson @ Robert Morris +12.0 142.1 84% 62–80 ✓
New Hampshire @ Fairfield +13.8 138.4 85% 68–72 ✓
Stonehill @ Quinnipiac +12.3 143.9 83% 62–76 ✓
Yale @ Vermont -2.1 157.5 40% 77–74 ✓
Cornell @ Bucknell -1.5 150.1 44% 101–72 ✓
Monmouth @ Lafayette -3.2 139.1 35% 88–74 ✓
Hofstra @ Pennsylvania +1.0 145.6 59% 77–60 ✗
Wyoming @ Texas Tech +6.7 144.0 75% 72–76 ✓
Mercyhurst @ West Virginia +11.3 128.6 82% 38–70 ✓
Fordham @ Colgate +3.0 132.9 65% 62–72 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Coastal Carolina +8.8 136.2 80% 60–67 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Florida Atlantic +8.2 148.2 77% 70–65 ✗
Belmont @ Charleston -2.7 143.2 44% 96–73 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ North Texas +7.7 134.9 79% 69–72 ✓
Longwood @ American University +5.6 147.9 71% 66–92 ✓
Presbyterian @ The Citadel -5.9 132.1 31% 69–41 ✓
UC Irvine @ San José State +2.4 129.2 54% 72–63 ✗
San Diego @ Long Beach State +2.7 142.6 58% 72–76 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Fresno State +7.5 140.4 79% 76–71 ✗
Coppin State @ Loyola Maryland +12.0 138.9 89% 84–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.