Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -380 TNST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | TNST -3.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -1.6 (-4.4) | 143.2 (-9.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -0.1 (-6.1) | 145.5 (-11.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -0.5 (-5.5) | 147.2 (-13.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.2 (-6.2) | 142.8 (-8.8) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | UTC 85 – 78 TNST |
| Dec 22, 2020 | UTC 66 – 63 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#295) | 0.9 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#281) | 0.54 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#283) | 0.48 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#253) | 0.549 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.5% | 42.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.