Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -130 SBU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +5 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -10.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -6.6 (-11.6) | 144.2 (-9.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -7.9 (-12.9) | 147.5 (-12.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -8.2 (-13.2) | 148.2 (-13.2) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -7.6 (-12.6) | 147.3 (-12.3) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | FAU 64 – 54 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#91) | 1.4 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#61) | 1.79 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#63) | 2.66 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#25) | 0.627 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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