Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SIU -1200 LR +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -19.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -15.4 (-6.4) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -13.8 (-4.8) | 146.7 (-7.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -14.4 (-5.4) | 144.8 (-5.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -15.0 (-6.0) | 145.3 (-6.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | SIU 94 – 63 LR |
| Nov 9, 2021 | LR 69 – 66 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#140) | -12.0 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#263) | -1.48 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#242) | -2.46 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#314) | 0.378 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 21.6% | 42.2% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 25.8% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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