Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -6.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -5.4 (-0.6) | 138.6 (+5.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CBU -4.2 (-1.8) | 137.7 (+6.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CBU -4.8 (-1.2) | 136.5 (+7.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -5.1 (-0.9) | 135.8 (+8.2) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#263) | 5.3 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#267) | 2.40 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#278) | 3.72 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#251) | 0.565 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 44.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 15.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 42.4% |
| FT Rate | 36.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 80.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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