Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | RMU -800 STET +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -15.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -14.6 (+3.4) | 139.4 (+2.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -11.5 (+6.5) | 142.2 (-0.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -12.0 (+6.0) | 142.1 (-0.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -11.1 (+6.9) | 141.0 (+1.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#202) | -12.3 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#142) | -2.36 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#119) | -3.12 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#115) | 0.346 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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