Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SJSU +136 UCI -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | SJSU -1.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJSU -0.0 (-9.0) | 132.8 (+2.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJSU -2.4 (-11.4) | 127.8 (+7.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SJSU -2.4 (-11.4) | 129.2 (+5.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJSU -2.4 (-11.4) | 131.7 (+3.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2023 | SJSU 72 – 64 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 15-5 |
| Home | 6-10 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#220) | 1.1 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#223) | -0.49 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#249) | 0.24 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#171) | 0.519 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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