Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -1000 MILW +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +24 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -22.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -21.1 (+2.9) | 158.6 (+27.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | AKR -16.6 (+7.4) | 160.0 (+26.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | AKR -19.6 (+4.4) | 157.7 (+28.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -21.4 (+2.6) | 159.6 (+26.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | MILW 100 – 81 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 79.9 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#27) | -2.7 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#71) | -0.54 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#70) | -0.93 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#44) | 0.461 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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