The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–11 on winners spread MAE 9.4 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Santa Clara @ Saint Louis -0.1 150.1 54% 70–71 ✗
Georgetown @ Dayton +0.3 139.9 61% 79–84 ✓
Duke @ Arkansas -6.9 150.1 26% 80–71 ✓
Wichita State @ Colorado State -1.0 142.7 44% 70–76 ✗
Stanford @ Minnesota -0.6 141.9 42% 72–68 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Northwestern +6.9 152.2 74% 86–81 ✗
Virginia Tech @ VCU +2.3 147.2 54% 68–86 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Purdue +33.3 136.8 90% 62–109 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Gardner-Webb -4.7 133.1 21% 76–68 ✓
Northeastern @ Wake Forest +17.4 145.9 87% 73–86 ✓
Illinois @ UConn -0.3 148.8 43% 61–74 ✗
Richmond @ Charlotte -3.9 143.2 30% 71–66 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Vanderbilt +2.4 151.0 53% 71–96 ✓
Longwood @ Siena +5.8 142.6 78% 63–70 ✓
San Francisco @ Nevada -2.1 144.2 40% 65–81 ✗
Indiana State @ Alcorn State -8.9 139.4 18% 74–81 ✗
Cleveland State @ Missouri +30.1 161.7 91% 59–86 ✓
Texas State @ Seattle U +7.6 134.2 78% 52–66 ✓
Southern Utah @ Robert Morris +18.9 153.0 91% 54–61 ✓
Oklahoma @ Marquette -3.4 153.8 36% 75–74 ✓
Monmouth @ Ball State -5.0 130.2 30% 80–73 ✓
Hofstra @ La Salle -2.7 140.7 44% 63–58 ✓
Wright State @ Butler +16.3 144.4 85% 69–94 ✓
Providence @ Florida +8.3 158.7 77% 78–90 ✓
Furman @ Illinois State +6.3 137.1 82% 65–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Arkansas State +1.6 147.0 57% 80–85 ✓
Nicholls @ Tulane +5.5 146.5 64% 72–82 ✓
Chicago State @ Youngstown State +12.2 145.8 83% 64–87 ✓
Navy @ UNC Wilmington +5.4 137.2 69% 57–87 ✓
Maine @ American University +6.2 135.9 55% 61–74 ✓
NJIT @ Eastern Michigan +12.2 138.4 87% 55–73 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Davidson +8.4 144.0 77% 74–90 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina +13.7 150.6 86% 62–74 ✓
Queens University @ Virginia +19.9 155.6 88% 69–94 ✓
Colorado State @ South Florida +5.0 158.5 72% 83–68 ✗
Washington @ Colorado -0.7 149.5 45% 68–81 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Lehigh -4.4 146.8 36% 72–70 ✓
Le Moyne @ Lafayette +1.2 150.7 50% 76–63 ✗
Merrimack @ Pennsylvania +7.6 146.3 77% 65–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida State +9.3 158.1 82% 95–59 ✗
Wisconsin @ TCU -0.8 150.2 49% 63–74 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Xavier +10.0 137.7 82% 67–88 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Idaho State +2.8 142.8 64% 50–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.