Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -2400 NE +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -18.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -18.0 (-5.0) | 149.8 (+9.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WAKE -17.5 (-4.5) | 147.1 (+11.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WAKE -15.9 (-2.9) | 144.8 (+14.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -17.4 (-4.4) | 145.9 (+13.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 13-7 | 2-10 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#31) | 0.8 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#106) | -0.13 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#85) | -0.21 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#119) | 0.480 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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