Betting Lines
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | TULN N/A NICH +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -4.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -3.1 (+6.9) | 146.2 (+7.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -4.6 (+5.4) | 145.7 (+8.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -5.5 (+4.5) | 146.5 (+7.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -5.1 (+4.9) | 151.1 (+2.9) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | TULN 91 – 81 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-10 |
| Home | 10-8 | 6-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#250) | -3.9 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#147) | -2.76 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#170) | -5.02 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#116) | 0.377 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 40.8% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 36.2% |
Game Analysis
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