The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Robert Morris Colonials
61 54
FINAL Urban-Bennett Invitational
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
UPMC Events Center · November 28, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money RMU -550 / SUU +380
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +7 115 Won
Massey RMU -24.0 (-17.0)
Massey Totals 164.5 (-49.5)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -19.0 (-12.0) 147.3 (-32.3) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -16.5 (-9.5) 150.9 (-35.9) 90%
Baseline ML RMU -18.9 (-11.9) 153.0 (-38.0) 91%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -20.3 (-13.3) 150.2 (-35.2) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU SUU
Overall 22-11 10-22
Conference 13-7 6-12
Home 14-3 7-6
Away 8-7 2-15
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 76.8 72.3
Avg Pts Against 73.4 81.3
Massey -0.0 (#173) -18.3 (#360)
Bradley-Terry 0.62 (#133) -3.51 (#351)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.20 (#121) -5.45 (#354)
RPI 0.552 (#103) 0.303 (#362)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU SUU
FG% 44.4% 40.6%
3PT% 35.9% 25.0%
REB / G 37.2 32.2
OREB / G 14.8 10.6
AST / TO 1.01 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 45.5%
TOV% 23.2% 19.6%
ORB% 40.9% 26.5%
FT Rate 15.1% 16.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 63.0%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 14.0%
DRB% 60.5% 65.9%
Opp FT Rate 40.8% 19.1%

Game Analysis

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