Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | NU -148 OKST +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +5 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -6.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -6.1 (-11.1) | 151.4 (+15.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -6.7 (-11.7) | 152.1 (+14.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -8.1 (-13.1) | 154.1 (+12.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -6.9 (-11.9) | 152.2 (+14.8) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 15-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 83.2 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#43) | 10.9 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#68) | 1.95 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#81) | 3.04 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#34) | 0.559 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.13 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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