I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–13 on winners spread MAE 12.6 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kansas @ Tennessee +1.3 137.3 64% 81–76 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Kentucky +24.6 146.6 90% 54–104 ✓
Houston Christian @ The Citadel -2.8 135.9 31% 72–65 ✓
Pepperdine @ Fresno State +2.2 142.6 62% 53–76 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UNC Wilmington +13.2 133.6 83% 57–70 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Florida Gulf Coast +9.6 167.1 81% 102–100 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Cincinnati +16.2 137.1 87% 64–56 ✗
Columbia @ Fairfield +3.2 142.5 62% 106–77 ✗
Rhode Island @ Temple -5.5 145.6 29% 90–75 ✓
Indiana State @ Louisiana Tech -0.1 127.3 50% 73–75 ✗
St. John's @ Auburn -4.1 164.1 35% 74–85 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Wichita State -0.6 139.1 51% 70–65 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Memphis +2.8 151.3 60% 58–74 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Northern Arizona +3.3 149.5 66% 72–79 ✓
South Dakota State @ UC Irvine -2.3 133.2 42% 52–64 ✗
Denver @ Wyoming +14.1 151.0 85% 59–101 ✓
NJIT @ Louisville +30.9 151.6 91% 47–104 ✓
Alabama State @ New Mexico +11.1 144.4 83% 87–93 ✓
Idaho @ Cal State Northridge -2.2 149.2 46% 78–64 ✓
Gonzaga @ Michigan +0.1 150.4 47% 61–101 ✓
NC State @ Texas -6.7 154.4 24% 97–102 ✗
Iowa @ Grand Canyon -6.0 143.0 27% 59–46 ✓
Long Beach State @ Portland +5.0 144.1 55% 73–93 ✓
Baylor @ San Diego State -0.8 158.2 49% 91–81 ✓
Maryland @ Alabama +18.3 160.5 89% 72–105 ✓
Utah @ Ole Miss +7.8 147.6 80% 75–74 ✗
Richmond @ Furman -6.4 146.2 25% 72–73 ✗
VCU @ Vanderbilt +4.2 155.2 73% 74–89 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ East Carolina -10.3 147.1 18% 67–58 ✓
Charlotte @ Illinois State +3.7 136.3 70% 69–79 ✓
Oregon @ Creighton +4.1 143.8 70% 66–76 ✓
San Francisco @ Colorado +1.0 151.7 52% 69–79 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Virginia Tech -1.4 146.2 41% 77–66 ✓
TCU @ Florida +8.7 143.3 81% 84–80 ✗
Michigan State @ North Carolina +0.5 140.8 49% 74–58 ✗
UNLV @ Rutgers -0.3 147.9 46% 65–80 ✗
Nevada @ Washington +4.4 146.0 72% 66–83 ✓
BYU @ Miami -0.1 155.6 56% 72–62 ✓
South Florida @ Western Kentucky -0.2 159.0 54% 97–91 ✓
Providence @ Wisconsin +3.6 164.9 55% 83–104 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.