Betting Lines
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -155 ORE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -6.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -4.1 (+5.9) | 144.7 (-2.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -4.9 (+5.1) | 140.3 (+1.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -4.1 (+5.9) | 143.8 (-1.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -4.8 (+5.2) | 140.6 (+1.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2024 | CREI 86 – 73 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#100) | -1.7 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#175) | -0.09 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#175) | 0.04 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#102) | 0.534 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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