Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -188 ORE +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +13 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -7.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -6.9 (+6.1) | 143.9 (+15.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -6.9 (+6.1) | 143.8 (+15.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -6.3 (+6.7) | 143.1 (+15.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -5.8 (+7.2) | 143.8 (+15.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | CREI 76 – 66 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 17.2 (#12) | 10.1 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#19) | 1.97 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#13) | 2.32 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#25) | 0.571 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.6% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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